It’s been a strange October when you do nothing but watch weather and water flows like we do. Almost the first half of October was exceptionally warm, flirting with record highs most days while we continued to wet wade well beyond our usual time frame. What would usually be a colorful riot of autumn color was nearly as green as what you’d see around Labor Day.
Then within barely a day and a half the weather turned cooler than normal. We watched as water temperatures on Little River fell about ten degrees in a little more than twelve hours. That’s an incredible amount of cooling in a stream and not something that tends to motivate the fish to eat. The sudden cool down has really jump started the colorful fall foliage, though.
We’re still catching fish, but it’s been a far cry from the incredible dry fly fishing we usually see in October. It’s also been a wet year, which is a very good thing for Smoky Mountain trout, but water levels are far above average for October, the typical lowest flows of the year. While I wouldn’t characterize our flows as “high”, they are certainly high for what we would see in October. Flows right now are more representative of earlier in the season like what we expect in April.

This is a recent photo from Little River upstream of Elkmont but flows resemble spring instead of autumn
The combination of cool weather and robust flows means we’ve relied on nymphs more than usual for autumn and also been fishing larger dry flies. Most years we fish #18 dry flies but this year we’re fishing significantly large #14’s to lure trout to the surface.
Right now the extended forecast seems to show a warm up so November may end up being more mild than October so the dry fly fishing could very well rebound before the arrival of winter. Regardless, fishing usually starts to slow down right around Thanksgiving; sometimes a little before and sometimes a little after. That means you need to get out now before fall turns to winter!

